📢 GW33 - the secret to a green arrow ⬆️

Summary for the lazy

⏰ Gameweek 33's deadline is TUESDAY 25th April, 18:00 BST

😐 it’s a regular gameweek with 10, good old fashioned fixtures.

😍 Double Gameweek 37 has been announced. Brighton, Chelsea, Man City and Man United all double.

⛔ We’re closing access to LazyFPL Premium.

Read on for a lovely differential.

Alright?

Well, just as one Blank Gameweek concludes, another Double Gameweek is announced. Such has been the nature of this rather tumultuous season, and it means we’ll have two doubles to enjoy between now and the end credits of the 22/23 campaign.

But before those, many of us will have to crawl back, tail between our legs, to the teams we abandoned prior to Free Hitting. It kind of feels like getting back into your Vauxhall Corsa after renting a Ferrari for the weekend. There’s a Kai Havertz stuffed down the side of the passenger seat and a David Raya going mouldy in the glovebox.

The Professor and I (James) will be tag-teaming this newsletter. He doesn’t like to boast (genuinely, he doesn’t. Not a single smug word from him this weekend. It was weird.), but last week he picked Castagne as his stand-out differential. Give the man a pat on the back, if you see him around.

In the immortal words of Soul II Soul: back to life, back to reality.

LazyFPL Premium is over.

In a week's time, we're closing new LazyFPL Premium subscriptions until mid-July.

If you want a golden ticket into the LazyFPL Premium Lounge, you'll need to get your skates on.

Why would you join LazyFPL Premium so late into the season? I can think of three good reasons:

1) During pre-season, the Professor will be sending a week-by-week guide titled 'Play like the Professor', where he'll basically explain, step-by-step, how he does so well every season.

2) You'll still get two extra Premium emails every week from now until GW38.

3) You'll also get access to the LazyFPL WhatsApp groups (the chat group and the broadcast group). They're a great bunch.

As I said, we're roping off Premium until mid-July next week. If you want a summer of top quality FPL content, now's your last chance to get it.

Double Gameweek 37

The teams who didn’t play last Gameweek will play twice in Double Gameweek 37, providing us with a closing ceremony befitting of an excellent season.

In case you’ve already forgotten, those teams are:

Brighton
Chelsea
Man City
Man United

Ben Crellin spotted this a mile off, which is very on-brand for Ben Crellin. Here’s the latest from him.

What does it mean? Well, the players you were probably targeting prior to Blank Gameweek 32 are probably still the ones you should be targeting. Like loo paper in lockdown, it’s time to start stockpiling.

Most top managers will have three Brighton, City and Man United players before long.

The best captain for Gameweek 33

Haaland might have Arsenal, but remember that Arsenal have conceded seven in their last three. It’s an important game and Haaland loves those.

The boys are back in town

Don’t call it a comeback, they’ll bring Spurs to tears.

First Soul II Soul and now LL Cool J. The coolest (debatable) FPL newsletter on the scene is here to let you know Marcus Rashford and Luke Shaw are back and given Spurs are being more Spursy than ever before, it could be time to shoehorn them back into your 11 (if they ever left).

The key stats for Gameweek 33

As always, here are the key digits ahead of the gameweek for you to consume.

Well, almost all of them.

The good folks at checkthechance.com (the website we use) haven’t had the time to update the “to score” odds because, well, there’s such a ludicrously short amount of time between gameweeks.

Keep an eye on their website tomorrow.

The Professor’s Team

Captain: Haaland

OR: 15,942

Transfers: Kane → Solanke (?) & Fernandes → Salah

I made a mistake.

As Premium members will know, I’m a conservative FPL player. I don’t take many hits (two all season, I think) and I like to wait for pressers and news before making transfers.

However, I’ve made a mistake.

My conservative style has led to me being priced out of:

Kane → Isak

Fernandes → Salah

Now I know what you’re thinking: you can still do that. The issue is that I’m now priced out of bringing in Alexander-Arnold for DGW34.

Now we could get into what type of manager are you, what kind of risk appetite do you have, are hits and early transfers beneficial, but that will be reserved for our pre-season content.

Nothing like a cheap plug.

But my mistake has happened and it’s now working out how best to resolve it. And I believe the best way of doing so is Solanke in.

He gives me the immediate Southampton and Leeds fixtures while also opening up the funds for Alexander-Arnold in DGW34.

It leaves me without Isak until GW36 (Watkins → Isak) but things could be worse.

Here’s hoping.

Or maybe there’s another player that I could move Kane onto …

Differential Corner

After his success last week, here’s another differential from the Professor, particularly ripe for those who need to make up significant ground quickly.

I’d just like to make it known that I dislike differentials. I don’t think they’re coducive to season-long success and I think they’re mainly more miss than hit.

Truth be told, I think I was lucky Castagne hauled last gameweek given he managed to score from a 0.07 expected goal shot.

However, Leicester did hold Wolves to 0.6 expected goals so maybe there’s an argument that I was unlucky he didn’t get a clean sheet.

But this is the issue with differentials. They’re either a wild success or a catastrophic failure.

So with that in mind here comes my next differential pick.

Kelechi Iheanacho. A player I have admired for so long but never been able to get into my squad.

Leicester are 10th for expected goals this season. Their squad is good, they have good players, and I believe their current position isn’t reflective of where they should be.

After creating a decent amount of xG in the second half against Manchester City and then racking up 2.4xG against Wolves, it may be time to hop on their assets if you are looking to throw caution to the wind while trying to make up ground in a mini-league.

And it’s not like this isn’t a data pick. Iheanacho has been a player who has, albeit in a streaky sample, been capable of putting up solid numbers.

And here is the kicker. The fixture kicker.

With Liverpool’s double coming up in DGW34, it’s likely time for almost all teams to create value so they’re able to afford Salah and Trent.

If you have Kane he can be used as a sacrificial lamb in order to facilitate those moves.

Here’s how it looks on paper:

GW33

• Kane → Iheanacho

• Midfielder → Salah

 GW34

Defender → Alexander-Arnold

You then hold Iheanacho until GW36 when you:

GW36

Iheanacho → Isak (for Newcastle’s double)

Other tidbits

⛔ William Saliba is out with a back injury, and is also a doubt for Gameweek 34.

⛔ Bruno Fernandes could also be out with an ankle injury picked up on Sunday.

💪 Ivan Toney has survived. He won’t get a suspension now unless he picks up 6 more yellows.

Okay, to finish with another classic song lyric (because, for some unfathomable reason, that’s been the theme of this week’s newsletter), it’s time to say goodbye.

Remember, LazyFPL Premium is out soon. This is your final boarding call until July.

Stay lazy,

The LazyFPL Team.