🥇 GW11 - how to avoid stupidity 🧠

The best way to side-step dunce-hood in Gameweek 11.

🚨 The stuff you should know 🚨

⏰ Gameweek 11’s deadline is Saturday 4th November, 11:00 GMT.

🔥 Possible Double Gameweek for Liverpool (feat. Luton).

🤕 Botman suffers setback, Neto out for “a couple of weeks”.

đź‘€ Udogie will be assessed ahead of Monday’s game.

🌡️ Temperature check: most top managers rolling a transfer this week.

Keep reading for a Luton stat that will make your captaincy decision far more stressful.

Alright?

Grandma visited yesterday. Hugs, smiles, cups of tea. The usual.

She asked me how the fantasy-whatsa-you-call-it email is going. I told her it was going fine, but that last week I made a few regrettable errors.

“Mistakes happen to the best of us, and I love you regardless,” she said. “I’m sure they weren’t even that bad.”

“But Grandma,” I replied. “The Professor’s team was the wrong team.”

“Meh, it probably had a better OR than his actual team anyway.”

“But Grandma,” I persisted, ignoring her sudden and inexplicable grasp of FPL parlance. “Most of our recipients got it 3 hours late.”

“Meh. I’m sure it was worth the wait.”

“But…but Grandma…I mixed up the Andersens.”

At this, she stood up, cracked her knuckles, spat at my feet and stormed out. Her parting words?

“You’re no Grandersen of mine.”

Fair enough really. Let’s look at Gameweek 11.

The EFL Cup

10 Premier League teams played in the EFL Cup on Wednesday and, oddly, the majority of them chose to field strong lineups. The selfish bastards.

Here are the results:

Of the popular FPL assets, these guys played a lot of mins:

Salah (90)
Bowen (90)
Tsimikas (90)
Gabriel (90)
Nketiah (80)
Palmer (87)
Gordon (64 - allegedly played as a striker for some of it)
Gakpo (81)

Fortunately, there were no notable injuries.

In fact, the most significant bit of news to emerge from Wednesday evening was actually rather tasty…

A possible future Double Gameweek

Ben Crellin has sounded the horn. The deep, bellowing tone summons millions of managers to their posts.

A Double Gameweek possibility for Mo Salah has emerged.

When: It would likely happen in Gameweek 24/25
How?: if Liverpool reach the final of the EFL Cup it’s “very likely” they’ll have a double. They’ll play West Ham at Anfield in the quarter-finals just before Christmas.

Right. Why is this mention-worthy then?

Well it’s because of their prospective Double Gameweek opponents. Ben reckons Liverpool’s Gameweek 26 fixture against Luton at Anfield would be the one to move to GW24/25, which means a double would include Luton + one of Burnley (H) or Brentford (A).

Don’t get too carried away yet. A blank in Gameweek 26 is also on the cards. Here are the multiverse scenarios that Ben has outlined:

Either way, it means there’s a strong possibility that the EFL Cup results might actually be vaguely interesting for managers. Miracles can happen.

The forward problem

FPL managers are famously reserved by nature.

But there’s a quietly simmering frustration that could reach boiling point this week.

The forward problem.

The forward problem is the theory that the best and most exciting FPL forwards at the moment are all a few games away from being rotated.

There are three in particular:

Eddie Nketiah - scored a hat-trick but Jesus could be back in a few weeks.

Darwin Nuñez - has returned in his last three games, but has only started four games this season.

Callum Wilson - seems to return whenever he plays, but Isak’s groin injury “isn’t too bad”.

As The Professor explained in his Gameweek 10 review, this issue is consolidated by the fact that most managers are currently on a 3-5-2 with Watkins and Haaland, making it challenging to bring in a third forward.

So what are we supposed to do? Just sit back and watch these guys score points?

Well, yeah. Probably exactly that. Just because Nketiah is the most transferred in player this week, it doesn’t mean we have to join them.

There’s a reason why most top managers will be rolling a transfer this week: because it’s very rarely a good idea to bring in a player who is an imminent rotation risk.

Even players that have just bagged double-digit returns.

The best captain for Gameweek 11.

It’s a good one this week.

If you’re running low on time, here’s a very quick overview: Erling Haaland at home to Bournemouth will be the most popular, is the bookies’ favourite and has the best fixture. In fact, no player has had stronger odds of scoring this season than Haaland this week at 68%.

He’s the best captain for most of you.

But there’s an incredible stat floating about that makes Mohamed Salah a far more tempting proposition than he would ordinarily be.

It originates from FPLMeerkat, who publishes a weekly thread on X (ugh) that identifies where teams concede their goals.

And he revealed that every single one of Luton’s 22 goals conceded this season have come down their left-hand side. Every. Single. One.

Aka: Salah’s side. Look at those RW returns.

It’s a straight shootout between the two of them. Pick Haaland if you’re happy to keep up with the pack. Pick Salah if you’re feeling adventurous.

The key stats.

Haaland - who had dropped off in recent weeks - is suddenly right back in the xMix after his showing against Man United. Stats can be fickle. Here are the important ones ahead of Gameweek 11.

The Professor’s team.

But actually his team this time. 

Captain - Haaland.

Transfers - none. 

Fantasy Football Hub’s MyTeam gives the Prof’s team a very decent 99% rating and a predicted points of 67.2.

Get your team rated for free here.

Other stuff we found interesting.

  • Gabriel was rested again in GW10 and played 90 in the EFL Cup.

  • Erik Ten Hag is apparently on “thin ice” according to the Times.

  • Eze and Olise will return before the international break.

  • Man City have the highest predicted goals for this gameweek that any team have had so far this season.

Okay, you’re ready. We’ll see you same time next week.

Stay lazy,

The LazyFPL Team.

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